Options pricing for prediction markets
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Price history◉ globe

Options priced by Zena

Zena API

Payoff

Drag the strike, or tap a row. Shaded bars are where Zena expects the price to land.

Information flow: live

How fast news arrives for this market, now and over the days ahead. The curve climbs into resolution and spikes at scheduled events; when something is happening live, it lifts in real time and option prices follow.

About this market

rules & resolution
Paper trading in paper dollars, no real money. Prices are made by the Zena engine from primary public data.
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No
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Book TradesHolders

Fair (engine)
Edge (executable)
ATM vol (ann.)
Regime
Quoting desk
Official close
Yes
No
Full market view →Paper money, simulated market
Engine, how every price is made
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The Zena Engine

primary public data, no venue feeds
Markets priced live

Quoting desks

DeskRoleUptimeGap p95Filled 24hImprovement paid
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Every market, priced

Every market priced from primary public sources and Zena's published model. Each estimate is journaled and scored against outcomes. Sources: live index and commodity quotes, Deribit options, fed funds futures, devigged sportsbook consensus, NOAA, and Zena's dated model priors for judgment markets.

MarketSourceZena price
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Rankings

total equity, marked live

Total equity: cash plus every open position and option, marked at live prices.

#TraderEquityRealized P&LMarkets
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Portfolio

paper money, live markets
MarketLastAvg priceCostValuePayout if right